It's poll-time again, although, (yawn) one wonders why? All we really want is a great few weeks to end the summer in style.
But, since the crosstabs for the new Rasmussen poll for Oregon gov was in my inbox, curiosity overcame me. Especially after reading the wonderful questions posed by Loaded Oregon on the union-backed poll claiming Ted is in a strong position. LO asked, "the question distinguishes between strong and weak support, but the results combine the two. For all we know, Ted has 10% strong support and 30% weak support, meaning his numbers are soft."
Since their article wasn't updated, we don't know if they answered you LO. So here's what we know
Rasmussen:
How do voters feel about the job Teddy k is doing?
11% strongly approve
45% somewhat approve
19% somewhat disapprove
23% strongly disapprove
2% not sure
Looks very squishy in the middle...
Do people like the candidates?
Kulongoski |
Saxton | |
Very favorable |
13% |
12% |
Somewhat favorable |
43% |
31% |
Somewhat unfavorable |
26% |
31% |
Very unfavorable |
18% |
21% |
Not sure |
1% |
6% |
Still a majority don't feel strongly. And where's Westlund?
35% Saxton, 45% Kulongoski, 12% some other candidate, 8% not sure
Why are votes going to Saxton 10% lower in Grove's poll (25%), and undecideds so much higher in hers (+15)? Is it because Westlund, et al, were named in the Grove poll and not Rasmussen? Does that mean Saxton's voters move to undecided when Westlund enters. TK doesn't seem as affected (-3). Is Westlund hurting Saxton more?
clarification: Rasmussen asked, "thinking about the election for Governor, if the election for governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Ron Saxton or Democrat Ted Kulongoski?"
"Other candidate" is +4 from May survey
"Violet"--
If you're upset that your guy wasn't included in the Rasmussen poll, why don't you post Westlund's favorables/unfavorables here? You have access to Zogby's "reseach" -- nothing's stopping you.
Posted by: anon | August 05, 2006 at 11:13 AM
Thanks for the hat tip. My only note would be that we're called Loaded Orygun, in case you want to Google it.
Oh, and also good to see the "other" count in the Rasmussen poll. Give Westlund 5-10% of that, I'd say--and I tend to agree with you (and what I've been saying all along), Saxton may be hurt more by Ben than Ted will be.
Posted by: torridjoe | August 06, 2006 at 03:41 PM
More like a tale of two readers.
Posted by: anon | August 07, 2006 at 10:20 PM
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